RESEARCH
Models, methods
& applications.
Time series, dynamic distributions, volatility, and risk.
Working papers 6
Journal publications 30
Multiple Chains Markov Switching Vector Autoregression
Journal of Time Series Analysis
Unobserved Component Models, Approximate Filters and Dynamic Adaptive Mixture Models
Journal of Econometrics
A Stochastic Volatility Model with a General Leverage Specification
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics
Dynamic Discrete Mixtures for High Frequency Prices
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics
Quasi Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Value at Risk and Expected Shortfall
Econometrics and Statistics
Hierarchical Hidden Markov Models for Multivariate Integer-valued Time-series
Journal of Econometrics
Dynamic Adaptive Mixture Models with an Application to Volatility and Risk
Journal of Financial Econometrics
Forecasting Volatility with Time-Varying Leverage and Volatility of Volatility Effects
International Journal of Forecasting
Robust Estimation of a Location Parameter with the Integrated Hogg Function
Statistics & Probability Letters
Density Forecasts and the Leverage Effect: Some Evidence from Observation and Parameter-Driven Volatility Models
The European Journal of Finance
Switching Generalised Autoregressive Score Copula Models with Application to Systemic Risk
Journal of Applied Econometrics
Forecasting Cryptocurrencies Under Model and Parameter Instability
International Journal of Forecasting
Markov-Switching GARCH Models in R: The MSGARCH Package
Journal of Statistical Software
Generalized Autoregressive Score Models in R: The GAS Package
Journal of Statistical Software
Forecasting Risk with Markov-Switching GARCH Models
International Journal of Forecasting
Portfolio Optimisation Under Flexible Dynamic Dependence Modelling
Journal of Empirical Finance
Dynamic Model Averaging for Practitioners in Economics and Finance: The eDMA Package
Journal of Statistical Software
The Model Confidence Set Package for R
International Journal of Computational Economics and Econometrics
Dynamic Spatial Autoregressive Models with Autoregressive and Heteroskedastic Disturbances
Journal of Applied Econometrics
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For work in progress and other research activities, see my full CV.